Pioneer Meta Inspection 2023/10/07

Pioneer Meta Inspection 2023/10/07

MiohitoKiri5474
October 7, 2023·Construct > Pioneer·- views

Note: This article was translated from Chinese by AI and may contain errors. Read the original Chinese version.

Before We Start

Regional RCs are rolling out through October. Before we begin, here are the dates for each region:

  • Canada (F2F Tour): Sep 29 - Oct 1
  • European (Legacy): Sep 30 - Oct 1
  • Australia & New Zealand (Good Game): Oct 27 - 29
  • Southeast Asia (Oracle Events): Nov 4 - 5
  • Taiwan (GameSquare): Nov 4 - 5
  • Brazil (City Class Games): Nov 4 - 5
  • Mexico & Central America & Caribbean (Yellow Rabbit): Nov 4 - 5
  • South America (Magicsur): Nov 24 - 26
  • China (Kadou): TBA (or I’m terrible and couldn’t find it)
  • Japan & Korea(Big Magic): TBA (or I’m terrible and couldn’t find it)

So for now I plan to practice a Rakdos midrange (or Sacrifice) build on MA, and once Australia/New Zealand wraps up at the end of October, I’ll see whether the list needs changes.

Finally, here is the info for MIT.
Barring surprises, the morning of 11/4 has a Modern prize tournament, noon has a Pioneer prize tournament, and there are LCQs all day, though I’m not sure how many in total.
Go by GameSquare’s announcements for the details.

Legacy European Championship: Lille

Let’s look at the European event first (Melee link).
It was held in Lille, a city in northern France (although it’s called a city, its permanent population is only around 230,000).

690 players entered, with Pioneer as the format.
After 15 Swiss rounds, the top eight play single elimination, and the event is split over two days:
Day 1: nine rounds, and only players at 6-3 or better advance to Day 2.
Day 2: six more rounds, then a top-eight single-elimination bracket.

First, the deck stats. Percentages are rounded to one decimal place, so they may not sum to 100%, and only decks with more than 20 copies are listed.

ArchetypeDeck Count% of Field
Rakdos Midrange8412.5%
Mono-Green Devotion6910.2%
Rakdos Sacrifice578.5%
Izzet Phoenix487.1%
Mono-White Humans446.5%
Azorius Spirits436.4%
Azorius Control334.9%
Lotus Field Combo324.6 %
Omnath to Light294.3%
Boros Convoke253.7%
Azorius Lotus Field233.4%
Boros Heroic233.4%
Others18026.0%

Basically the meta is still dominated by black-red decks, Green Devotion, Phoenix, and Mono-White.

Next, the top ten most-played cards:

CardCpoiesDecks
1Thoughtseize86833%
2Fable of the Mirror-Breaker85432%
3Fatal Push79832%
4Rending Volley58638%
5Bloodtithe Harvester55721%
6Duress44328%
7Bonecrusher Giant41616%
8Portable Hole40318%
9Elvish Mystic39415%
10Llanowar Elves39315%

Then the top-eight decks, ranked by final placement, with the record being the Swiss record.

RankPlayerDecklistRecord
1Adrián Iñigo TastetLotus Field Combo12-2-1
2Lars HenrichvarkAbzan Greasefang12-3
4Christoffer LarsenRakdos Sacrifice12-3
4Sam RolphLotus Field Combo12-2-1
8Samuele EstrattiFire-Color Combo12-1-2
8Josep SanfeliuGruul Vehicles12-2-1
8Marcin KlimuszkoEnigmatic Fires12-3
8alscecRakdos Midrange12-3

You’ll notice that most of these are on the faster side. The slowest are probably Rakdos Midrange and Enigmatic Fires; nearly all the others are decks that settle the game around turn four or five.
Even the Rakdos Midrange list leans aggro: it only has 25 lands, but it runs four manlands (two red, two black) and no Castle to draw cards.

Let’s go through the decks one by one and look at their highlights:

Lotus Field Combo

Let’s start with the winning version. In its flex slots it has three extra copies of Discontinuity, used to cut the turn short in response to Lotus Field’s ETB trigger, or during the opponent’s upkeep.

The other top-eight player, Sam Rolph, put Growth Spiral and more card draw in his free slots.

Abzan Greasefang

The Greasefang build is similar to the one in my last Pioneer inspection, but this is a more midrange build. In the main deck, besides a full set of Thoughtseize, it also has two Duress and one Collective Brutality.
The sideboard also has two Reckoner Bankbuster, presumably expecting plenty of midrange matchups (and he did indeed run into quite a few midrange decks).

Rakdos Sacrifice

The Sacrifice build is quite standard, at least the main deck is.
The sideboard presumably also expects lots of midrange matchups, so it has one Reckoner Bankbuster, three Ob Nixilis, the Adversary, and two Archfiend of the Dross.
That said, if it were me, I’d cut one Thoughtseize or Fatal Push from the main deck for an extra land. Even though Kiki can make Treasure to accelerate, it feels very easy to end up holding Archfiend of the Dross without being able to cast it.

Fire-Color Combo

As I understand it, this is a variant of Rona Combo. It keeps looting, then produces infinite mana with the following line:
Cast Retraction Helix targeting Rona, Herald of Invasion. Together with Mox Amber, this produces infinite blue (tap Rona to return Mox Amber to hand, cast Amber to make mana, then do it again).

It also has Bring to Light to find whichever piece is missing (Rona or Retraction Helix), or to find Valki, God of Lies and cast the back side, Tibalt, Cosmic Impostor, for a huge amount of resources, or to find a sweeper or another toolbox card.

With infinite mana, you can switch to bouncing Karn, the Great Creator back to hand. Each time Karn lands, fetch The Stone Brain from the sideboard or exile zone and exile the opponent’s whole hand/library.
Another approach is to find a way to land Tibalt after getting infinite mana and repeat the earlier infinite-mana loop. By now you also have red and black, so you can cast Tibalt infinitely, using the [+2] each time it enters to mill the opponent’s library dry.
The worst-case option is probably to land Atraxa, Grand Unifier to dig for resources and see whether you can combo next turn, or simply beat the opponent to death with Atraxa, which is not a bad option either.

Tyvar, Jubilant Brawler is used after infinite mana to loot infinitely, or to find resources, and also lets creatures’ activated abilities ignore summoning sickness.

Here’s a quick note on how to loot infinitely with Tyvar.

  1. With Tyvar on the battlefield, first use the earlier loop to produce infinite black-green
  2. Tap Rona to bounce Tyvar to hand
  3. Cast Tyvar to untap Rona
  4. Activate Tyvar’s [+1] ability to untap Rona, and in response to that ability, use Rona’s loot once
  5. Repeat steps 2 - 4, looting infinitely until you find Karn or Valki

Last of all are Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy and Lukka, Coppercoat Outcast. I think Kinnan and Lukka are also there for acceleration and finding resources, and in the mid-to-late game they can find Atraxa as a final backup plan.

Gruul Vehicles

Vehicles is similar to earlier builds. The main deck adds the new WOE card The Huntsman’s Redemption. Besides being a three-mana 3/3 on its own, it can find sideboard creature-hate for post-board games, and finally gives two creatures +2/+2 and trample.

Enigmatic Fires

Enigmatic Fires is also similar to what I covered before, but it adds Up the Beanstalk, a two-mana tempo card. Personally I think it’s slightly better than Omen of the Sea, but since Fires basically doesn’t hard-cast many spells with mana value 5 or more, the extra draw is limited. Still, every little bit helps, right?

Rakdos Midrange

Rakdos Midrange performed quite solidly, but with more creatures it leans toward the aggro side.
The overall feel is about the same. The sideboard is lean, but a bit too lean; maybe there were too many options, and it would be better to pick the few most important ones to handle and raise the win rate in those matchups.

F2F Tour Championship - Calgary

After the European event, let’s look at the Canadian RC (Melee link).
This time Canada held it in Calgary, a city in south-central Canada.

177 players entered, with Pioneer as the format.
After 13 Swiss rounds, the top eight play single elimination, and the event is split over two days:
Day 1: eight rounds, and only players at 5-3 or better advance to Day 2
Day 2: five more Swiss rounds, then a top-eight single-elimination bracket.

Again, the deck shares first. Percentages are rounded to one decimal place, so they may not sum to 100%, and only decks with more than 5 copies are listed.

ArchetypeDeck Count% of Field
Mono-Green Devotion2111.9%
Rakdos Sacrifice1910.7%
Rakdos Midrange169.0%
Izzet Phoenix147.9%
Boros Heroic126.8%
Mono-White Humans126.8%
Abzan Greasefang105.6%
Azorius Spirits95.0%
Lotus Field Combo63.4%
Boros Convoke63.4%
Selesnya Angels52.8%
Azorius Lotus Field52.8%
Golgari Midrange52.8%
Others3720.9%

Apart from Angels and Golgari Midrange, which are a bit surprising to see played, the rest are all meta decks.

Next, single-card usage.

CardCopiesDecks
1Thoughtseize22732%
2Fatal Push21232%
3Fable of the Mirror-Breaker19227%
4Rending Volley11641%
5Bloodtithe Harvester14821%
6Duress12632%
7Llanowar Elves12318%
8Elvish Mystic12018%
9Bonecrusher Giant10816%
10Portable Hole9615%

Yep, it looks about the same as the European usage table: the same cards, just in a different order with different counts.

Next, the top-eight decklists, with records again taken from the Swiss rounds.

RankPlayerDecklistRecord
1Boston SchattemanIzzet Phoenix10-2-1
2Liam KaneRakdos Sacrifice11-2
4Attila FurGruul Vehicles10-3
4Derek PiteRakdos Midrange10-2-1
8Drew ChristensenBoros Heroic10-3
8Gavin BennettUW Control9-2-2
8Andrew KidstonMono-Green Devotion9-3-1
8David SchnayerEnigmatic Fires9-3-1

Compared with the European RC, this is much slower; at least half of the decks aren’t fast.

Izzet Phoenix

As mentioned before, Phoenix is back in the meta now that it has Sleight of Hand. With more ways to find cards, it’s easier to dig up the right resources, and since Sleight of Hand isn’t drawing, it slightly lowers Sheoldred’s threat.
The build takes the older route: copying for two extra turns, keeping resources for a mid-to-late-game burst.
The sideboard has flexibility against control, plus the Saheeli combo.

Rakdos Sacrifice

The Sacrifice build is similar too, but the sideboard only adds one more Duress, then runs a third Ob Nixilis, and also four Leyline of the Void for the mirror and for Greasefang.
However, four Leylines in the sideboard take up a lot of room, so you may need to think about how to handle sideboarding.

Gruul Vehicles

Gruul Vehicles did quite well this weekend, with two lists in the RC top eight.
The builds are much the same, again adding the WOE Saga for resources and damage.

Rakdos Midrange

This Rakdos Midrange list moved the two Reckoner Bankbuster that would usually be in the sideboard into the main deck, and moved Misery’s Shadow, which usually goes in the main deck, to the sideboard. Presumably it expected more midrange mirrors, but the price is that game 1 is harder to win against Green Devotion and Sacrifice.

Boros Heroic

Heroic uses a newer build. The main deck has a one-mana red pump spell that gives +2/+0 and trample (plus a Monster Role), and the sideboard has three Showdown of the Skalds to add resources for matchups that go to the mid-to-long game.

UW Control

This control deck cut down on sweepers and added more cheap removal and cheap counterspells (even Absorb is only at three copies). It feels like without Teferi, Hero of Dominaria it’s easy to run out of resources.
I’m not sure what the builder was thinking, but judging by the results, it’s a good build.

Mono-Green Devotion

In the main deck, it chose to run one more Cityscape Leveler.
The sideboard is a very standard Karn toolbox.

Enigmatic Fires

This Fires list is the 61-card Keruga, the Macrosage version. For the four-drop creature it runs Nicol Bolas, the Ravager instead of the more common Omnath, Locus of Creation. The old dragon flies and, once flipped, can provide resources on its own, whereas Omnath needs lands to go with it and can’t show its strength in a format without fetchlands.

Classic Qualifier: Lille

That covers the RCs. Now for an RCQ that was also held last weekend. It was a side event of Legacy European Championship: Lille; think of it as the MagicCon PTQ, which plays for qualification to the next PT, whereas the Classic Qualifier plays for qualification to the next European RC (Melee link).
The format was also Pioneer, so I’m covering it in the same post.

236 players entered, with nine Swiss rounds, and the top eight earn qualification to the next RC, Ghent.
Since the prizes/qualification are the same for places one through eight, there is no separate top-eight bracket.

As usual, the deck usage stats first. Again only decks with five or more copies are listed, with usage rounded to one decimal place, so the total may not be 100%.

ArchetypeDeck Count% of Field
Mono-Green Devottion2812.8%
Rakdos Midrange2411.0%
Azorius Spirits156.9%
Rakdos Sacrifice136.0%
Izzet Phoenix136.0%
Lotus Field Combo115.0%
Boros Convoke104.6%
Mono-White Humans83.7%
Boros Heroic83.7%
UW Control83.7%
Abzan Greasefang62.8%
Azorius Lotus Field Control62.8%
Othres8536.0%

Usage matches the rest of the meta. Spirits being slightly more common is a bit of a surprise, but everything else is at a normal level.

The top ten most-played cards are:

RankCardCopiesDecks
1Fable of the Mirror-Breaker23928%
2Thoughtseize23028%
3Fatal Push21727%
4Rending Volley18435%
5Llanowar Elves15818%
6Bloodtithe Harvester15618%
7Elvish Mystic15618%
8Bonecrusher Giant13417%
9Portable Hole12218%
10Karn, the Great Creator12014%

Decks at 7-2 or better:

RankPlayerDecklistRecord
1makuto86Rakdos Midrange8-1
2laurent DeladeMono-Green Devotion8-1
3Ander PérezBoros Convoke7-0-2
4Geoffroy HeurtierN/A7-1-1
5Bartosz SkorupaLotus Field Combo7-1-1
6Álvaro SantiagoMono-White Humans7-1-1
7Víctor Martínez MedinaRakdos Midrange7-1-1
8mcnuggets8Dimir Rogues7-2
9Adolfo OncinaAzorius Spirits7-2
10Chloé DebessonMono-Green Devotion7-2
11Jakob BergelinWaste Not7-2
12Adrià Ferrer FernándezKeruga Fires7-2
13Oskar MånssonFive-Color Transmogrify7-2
14Matthieu TassaBoros Heroic7-2
15René HubrichMono-Green Devotion7-2
16Sacha CopignyRakdos Sacrifice7-2

Overall the decks are mostly midrange, with a bit of aggro on the side.

I won’t go into every deck here; if you’re interested, feel free to click through and look.

Conclusion

Finally, a very irresponsible metagame guess. Can’t help it, the meta still needs nearly a month to settle
I think there will again be lots of Rakdos Midrange, Green Devotion, and Rakdos Sacrifice, which should make up over 40%.
Phoenix, Spirits, Mono-White Humans, Gruul, Greasefang, and Lotus Field will also see play, but not that many copies (probably none above five), which I estimate at 25 - 30%.
The rest will be a mix of scattered red-white aggro (Heroic, Convoke), Fires, Indomitable Creativity, Neoform, and similar decks.

Maybe someone will play Golgari Midrange, but I don’t expect many, and it still needs testing in the environment. Looking at the card list, it feels like you’d end up better off just playing Rakdos Midrange: every extra draw card costs an additional 1 life, which is 3 against Sheoldred, and even when you have Sheoldred yourself you’re constantly losing life. Unless the metagame is absolutely packed with enchantments, I’m personally barely considering it.
And even if you do splash green, it should still be built as Jund; Kiki and Bloodtithe are too hard to give up.

Finally, combining how things felt in this week’s MA Explorer Event, I’ll probably choose between Rakdos Sacrifice and Rakdos Midrange, still undecided.

Finally, I hope everyone finds the deck they love, see you all on the tournament floor in November!

MiohitoKiri5474
MiohitoKiri5474
aka 台南猴王的耍猴日常, one of the site's co-founders and its tech person.
Former cEDH grumpy old-timer, now a resigned constructed player. Favourite formats are Modern and Pauper.
Can never play aggro or combo well; any deck that needs to assemble a combo is always missing one piece.
Title
Pioneer Meta Inspection 2023/10/07
Author
MiohitoKiri5474
Created at
October 7, 2023
License
This work is licensed under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 .

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